Tuesday, July 21, 2009 - 2:44 PM
Guest Post by Nathan Brown
Most Egyptian judicial observers were stunned earlier this month when
President Husni Mubarak appointed Faruq Sultan as chief justice of the
country’s Supreme Constitutional Court.
The Court, created in its current form in 1979, built a record in the
1980s and 1990s that earned it international attention for activism on
several fronts, especially its willingness to take the vague human
rights provisions of Egypt’s constitutional text and give them real
meaning. The Court also took an assertive role in several hot political
issues, such as the role of Islamic law and election administration.
Its boldness had limits—it simply avoided the question of the use of
military courts to try civilians, a tool the regime continues to use
(probably in violation of the constitution) against the Muslim
Brotherhood.
The Court’s boldness stemmed in part from its autonomy—but that
autonomy was built far more on tradition than on any sound legal
footing. The Court retained a great deal of influence over its own
membership and the president usually selected the Court’s most senior
member as chief justice. But in the current decade, the Court has been reined in. The president
has appointed a series of more reliable chief justices from outside the
Court and Egypt’s boldest judicial actor has been tamed.
Yet the most recent appointment still stunned observers.
It is not simply that the
new chief justice has no background in constitutional issues. Nor is
it simply that he comes from a primary court and has a relatively
modest background for such an august post. What causes deepest concern
is that his career has brought him through some of the more sordid
parts of the Egyptian judicial apparatus—military courts, state
security courts, the “court of ethics,” among other places. Parts of
Egypt’s judiciary have earned a reputation for professionalism and
independence; other parts have distinguished themselves for their
usefulness in working to legalize the whims of the country’s rulers.
His critics charge that Sultan’s career places him squarely within
those latter parts.
But if the Supreme Constitutional Court has already lost its fangs, why
add insult to injury by his appointment? Speculation here ties the
appointment to the issue of presidential succession and the effort to
anticipate any obstacles to a smooth, flawless, and uncontested
transfer of power. Among the chief justice’s constitutional duties is
the oversight of presidential elections. The new chief justice was
born in October 1941; he will therefore reach retirement age in October
2011. And the next presidential elections are scheduled for ...
September 2011.
And the appointment, as much as it violates all kinds of norms and
traditions, is perfectly legal. In the past few years, the Egyptian
regime has worked hard to close any loophole in its legal and
constitutional framework that would allow for any movement toward
democratic opening. This appointment may have closed the last gap that
had to be filled.
I am currently living in Egypt and have been talking to someone who is VERY well connected, particularly with the judges in Cairo. He told me the other day that he thinks (almost certain) that the succession will occur within the coming year (well before the 2011 elections) and that it might involve dissolving the current Majlis al-Sha'ab (on the grounds that the 2005 elections were "illegitimate"?) and running new elections under the "watchful" eye of the new Constitutional Court to weed out the malcontents and ensure an orderly succession to Jamal.
I don't want to speculate, but my friend is not conspiratorial by nature and indeed is pretty much in close contact with everyone both in and out of the regime. He also seemed very certain about this. And of course Mubarrak didn't make it to the African summit, which raises eyebrows. Why risk waiting to 2011 when the reigns can be passed now?
Marc,
I am astonished and disappointed at your complete silence about the latest vicious crackdown against reformists within the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood, including Dr. Abdul Mon'em abu el Fotoh! Many observers and analysts believe that this latest crackdown against MB is by the far one of the most significant steps taken by the Egyptian regime to prepare for the succession of power. I wonder why you haven’t said anything about it! It looks like the Obama administration is stepping on the wrong foot if it envisions positive change in its ME policies while it ignores the MB, the only legitimate and highly organized political opposition movement in the Muslim and Arab world. How does the US government continue to get it so wrong! It’s very frustrated!
Marc Lynch is associate professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University.
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