Guest Post by Nathan Brown

Most Egyptian judicial observers were stunned earlier this month when President Husni Mubarak appointed Faruq Sultan as chief justice of the country’s Supreme Constitutional Court.

The Court, created in its current form in 1979, built a record in the 1980s and 1990s that earned it international attention for activism on several fronts, especially its willingness to take the vague human rights provisions of Egypt’s constitutional text and give them real meaning. The Court also took an assertive role in several hot political issues, such as the role of Islamic law and election administration.  Its boldness had limits—it simply avoided the question of the use of military courts to try civilians, a tool the regime continues to use (probably in violation of the constitution) against the Muslim Brotherhood.

The Court’s boldness stemmed in part from its autonomy—but that autonomy was built far more on tradition than on any sound legal footing. The Court retained a great deal of influence over its own membership and the president usually selected the Court’s most senior member as chief justice.  But in the current decade, the Court has been reined in.  The president has appointed a series of more reliable chief justices from outside the Court and Egypt’s boldest judicial actor has been tamed.  

Yet the most recent appointment still stunned observers.

It is not simply that the new chief justice has no background in constitutional issues.  Nor is it simply that he comes from a primary court and has a relatively modest background for such an august post.  What causes deepest concern is that his career has brought him through some of the more sordid parts of the Egyptian judicial apparatus—military courts, state security courts, the “court of ethics,” among other places.  Parts of Egypt’s judiciary have earned a reputation for professionalism and independence; other parts have distinguished themselves for their usefulness in working to legalize the whims of the country’s rulers.  His critics charge that Sultan’s career places him squarely within those latter parts.

But if the Supreme Constitutional Court has already lost its fangs, why add insult to injury by his appointment? Speculation here ties the appointment to the issue of presidential succession and the effort to anticipate any obstacles to a smooth, flawless, and uncontested transfer of power.  Among the chief justice’s constitutional duties is the oversight of presidential elections.  The new chief justice was born in October 1941; he will therefore reach retirement age in October 2011.  And the next presidential elections are scheduled for ... September 2011.

And the appointment, as much as it violates all kinds of norms and traditions, is perfectly legal. In the past few years, the Egyptian regime has worked hard to close any loophole in its legal and constitutional framework that would allow for any movement toward democratic opening. This appointment may have closed the last gap that had to be filled.

 

GETTHATWASTA

11:50 PM ET

July 21, 2009

I am currently living in

I am currently living in Egypt and have been talking to someone who is VERY well connected, particularly with the judges in Cairo. He told me the other day that he thinks (almost certain) that the succession will occur within the coming year (well before the 2011 elections) and that it might involve dissolving the current Majlis al-Sha'ab (on the grounds that the 2005 elections were "illegitimate"?) and running new elections under the "watchful" eye of the new Constitutional Court to weed out the malcontents and ensure an orderly succession to Jamal.

I don't want to speculate, but my friend is not conspiratorial by nature and indeed is pretty much in close contact with everyone both in and out of the regime. He also seemed very certain about this. And of course Mubarrak didn't make it to the African summit, which raises eyebrows. Why risk waiting to 2011 when the reigns can be passed now?

 

MANSOURMD

2:18 AM ET

July 23, 2009

Brotherhood latest arrests

Marc,
I am astonished and disappointed at your complete silence about the latest vicious crackdown against reformists within the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood, including Dr. Abdul Mon'em abu el Fotoh! Many observers and analysts believe that this latest crackdown against MB is by the far one of the most significant steps taken by the Egyptian regime to prepare for the succession of power. I wonder why you haven’t said anything about it! It looks like the Obama administration is stepping on the wrong foot if it envisions positive change in its ME policies while it ignores the MB, the only legitimate and highly organized political opposition movement in the Muslim and Arab world. How does the US government continue to get it so wrong! It’s very frustrated!

 

Marc Lynch is associate professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University.

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