Posted By Marc Lynch Share

So you thought that Ahmed Chalabi and Ali al-Lami's Accountability and Justice (De-Ba'athification) Committee had done all they could to wreck Iraq's elections and advance their political agendas?  Not even.  Yesterday, in what al-Hayat calls a surprise move, Lami announced that the AJC had named 376 military, police and intelligence officers for de-Ba'athification. The list includes a number of important people in senior positions.

The political calculations here are transparent.  Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has the Constitutional right to except individuals from de-Ba'athification in the national interest, but presumably he won't out of fear of being portrayed as "soft on the Ba'ath" in the last days of the election campaign.   Lami's move will likely further inflame the situation, demonstrating the degradation and politicization of Iraqi state institutions and further antagonizing many Sunnis (Vice President Tareq al-Hashemi said today that the Iraqi government had "failed" at national reconciliation, though a return of civil war remains unlikely, while Ayad Allawi is on the defensive over his visit to Saudi Arabia to launch his election campaign).   That polarization will strengthen the electoral hand of the more sectarian parties, including of course the one for which Lami is personally a candidate. 

The impact of this new move hasn't yet really begun to play out, but it will.   If you don't know, now you know. 

 
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JWING

8:23 PM ET

February 24, 2010

Irony

Ironically the Accountability and Justice Law actually does cover Baathists in the security forces. I would suspect more of these moves are going to come. I've been reading a little bit about issues being discussed by the different parties, but the overwhelming theme of the campaign is Baathism and the two main Shiite parties are going to run with it as long as they can, which actually is only a few more days before the vote.

 

JANBEKSTER

10:33 AM ET

February 25, 2010

Chalabi and CO.

And why would they be finished, when the sectarian system is being enforced and applied on daily basis?. Is it really logical to assume that a democratic system will emerge in Iraq when the sectarians are fanning the flames of hatered and discord.
khairi janbek.paris/france

 

NUR AL-CUBICLE

6:51 PM ET

February 25, 2010

Bourbier

The Kurds and the Shi'a have the power they have been seeking for generations and they ain't letting go. Why should they just for Joe Biden's blessing?

 

Marc Lynch is associate professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University.

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